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Opened Jan 17, 2025 by Blake Wolf@blakewolf26295
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Refiner Neste Warns of Weaker Biofuel Outlook, Shares Drop


Company makes 3rd cut to renewables company outlook this year

Reduces both margin and volume outlook

Weaker diesel market strikes biofuel prices

(Adds analyst, background, detail in paragraphs 2-3, 9-11)

By Elviira Luoma and Essi Lehto

HELSINKI, Sept 11 (Reuters) - Finnish refiner Neste on Wednesday cut the margin outlook for its biofuel organization for the third time this year due to falling costs and also reduced its expected sales volumes, sending the business's share price down 10%.

Neste stated a drop in the cost of regular diesel had actually affected what it can charge for the it makes in Europe and Singapore, while input costs for waste and residue feedstock remained high.

A rush by U.S. fuel makers to recalibrate their plants to produce sustainable diesel has actually developed a supply glut of low-emissions biofuels, hammering earnings margins for refiners and threatening to restrain the nascent industry.

Neste in a statement slashed the expected average similar sales margin of its renewables unit to in between $360-$480 per tonne of biofuel, down from $480-$580 per tonne seen in July and well below the $600-$800 seen in February.

The company now likewise expects renewables-based sales volumes in 2024 to be about 3.9 million tonnes rather of the 4.4 million it had forecasted given that the start of the year, it included.

A part of the volume cut originated from the production of sustainable aviation fuel, of which it is now anticipated to sell between 350,000-550,000 tonnes this year, down from between 500,000 and 700,000 tonnes seen formerly, Neste said.

"Renewable items' sales costs have actually been adversely impacted by a substantial decrease in (the) diesel price during the third quarter," Neste said in a statement.

"At the very same time, waste and residue feedstock costs have not decreased and sustainable product market value premiums have stayed weak," the company included.

Industry executives and analysts have stated rapidly broadening Chinese biodiesel producers are looking for brand-new outlets in Asia for their exports, while Shell and BP have actually revealed they are stopping briefly growth strategies in Europe.

While the cut in Neste's guidance on sales volumes of sustainable aviation fuel came as a surprise, the negative influence on biodiesel margins from a lower diesel price was to be expected, Inderes analyst Petri Gostowski said.

Neste's share rate had reversed some losses by 1037 GMT but remained down 5.8% on the day and 48% lower year-to-date. (Reporting by Elviira Luoma, Essi Lehto and Boleslaw Lasocki; Editing by Terje Solsvik and Jan Harvey)

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Reference: blakewolf26295/mission-newenergy-limited#2